Brief on Iran (BOI – 511)

by OIAC

Khamenei Orders Acceleration of Nuclear Weapon Production to Ensure Iranian Regime’s Survival
The Regime Leaders’ Preparations to Raise the “Level of Deterrence” and “Reconsider the Nuclear Doctrine”
NCRI, October 15, 2024

Ali Khamenei, simultaneously with Massoud Pezeshkian taking office, has ordered the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to complete and accelerate the project of building nuclear bombs. Preparations in the parliament, Friday prayers, and the positions of experts and officials of the dominant faction of the regime are all in this direction.

The main reason is a strategic way out of the quagmire of war and ensuring the survival of the regime with a nuclear bomb, which has been the agenda of the Velayat-e Faqih regime in its secret nuclear program since 1990, one year after Khomeini’s death.

In a confidential internal report by the IRGC addressed to the relevant officials in the nuclear project, Khamenei’s intended directive is justified as follows: the regime’s missile capability is indeed an important factor in the “deterrent power of the Islamic Republic,” but considering the “ongoing war in the region” and the prospect of its expansion, the system needs a “higher level of deterrence,” and the current balance will not suffice for the “next stages” of war. Under such circumstances, “the best solution is a change in nuclear doctrine and designing a new model of power balance.” Because in a “classical battle,” the enemy’s capabilities, with “arrogance” support, cause trouble, and in a “long conventional war,” the system will face “problems.” Therefore, the time has come to take the “final step”.

In another report after the regime’s second missile attack on October 1, it was stated that in the “True Promise 2” operation, “Khorramshahr, Ghadr, Emad, Kheibar, Qiam, Shahab-3, and the hypersonic Fat’h-1 ballistic missiles were used,” but “repeating similar missile attacks will not bring any new achievements.” Therefore, the next step must be to establish a balance between “massive destructive power” and a “higher level of deterrence.”
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